Champions League Betting Tips: Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich
The stage is set for a blockbuster Champions League semi-final second leg between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich at the Santiago Bernabéu. Borussia Dortmund awaits the winner in the final after they shocked PSG 1-0 at the Parc des Princes on Tuesday to win their semi-final tie 2-0 on aggregate.
Real Madrid will hope it will be them taking on Dortmund at Wembley after Vinicius Junior’s brace in the first leg secured a 2-2 draw at the Allianz Arena. This result gives Los Blancos the upper hand as they head into the second leg on home soil, and after securing their 36th La Liga title at the weekend, the 14-time Champions League winners will enter this tie brimming with confidence.
Carlo Ancelotti’s record against Bayern is another noteworthy factor that suggests the hosts have the advantage in this tie. The Italian has never lost to his former team in nine encounters (W6, D3).
Despite dominating large portions of the first leg, Bayern Munich were unable to hold onto their 2-1 lead, and the Bavarians have often appeared disjointed for much of Thomas Tuchel’s reign. Defensive issues which have plagued Bayern all season, were further exposed in the 3-1 defeat to Stuttgart at the weekend. While Tuchel rotated his team significantly, the defeat was hardly ideal preparation for their Madrid trip.
This weakness at the back bodes poorly for Bayern. They haven’t kept a clean sheet against Los Blancos in 16 consecutive Champions League matches – their longest streak against any opponent in their European Cup/UEFA Champions League history. Wednesday’s encounter is likely to see this trend continue.
Betting Tip: Real Madrid to win
08/05 20:00 Real Madrid – Bayern Munich Real Madrid to win @ 1.95 (Betano)
Buoyed by their La Liga triumph and a positive first-leg result, Real Madrid will be confident of victory at the Bernabéu, where a vociferous home crowd will provide a significant advantage. Ancelotti’s excellent record against the visitors also gives the hosts an edge.
While Bayern’s preparations haven’t been ideal, they’ll undoubtedly fight tooth and nail at the Bernabéu. After all, the Champions League represents their sole remaining chance for silverware this season. The possibility of an all-German final against Borussia Dortmund – their 2013 Champions League opponents, who they beat at Wembley (which is also the venue for this year’s final) – could serve as a significant motivator for Bayern, who might view these circumstances as a sign of destiny.
However, Bayern’s defensive problems and inability to keep a clean sheet against Real Madrid in this competition (16 games) cast doubt on their ability to pull off an upset against the Champions League specialists.
Therefore, we recommend backing Real Madrid to win at 1.95 odds on Betano.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich - Real Madrid to win @ 1.95
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich - Real Madrid to win @ 1.95Alternatively, you can take Betano’s “2 Goals Ahead” early payout on the match, at an excellent 1.90 odds for Real Madrid to win. This means your bet is settled as a win if Real Madrid lead by two goals at any point in the match, regardless of the final score.
Card Market Potential
With Szymon Marciniak, a card-happy referee, officiating the game, the cards market is another potentially lucrative option to consider. Based on the past five years (excluding the Covid season), the average number of cards in Champions League semi-final second legs is 5.4. Considering this, the 2.55 odds on Betano for Over 5.5 cards in the game could be worth taking. Alternatively, you could opt for the Over 4.5 cards at an equally enticing 1.87 odds.
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